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Quintis (QIN) - Pruning plantations

Only time will prove whether QIN and McKinsey are right about end markets. Naysayers’ strong assertions on the other hand need only stoke fear to see predictions fulfilled. Regardless of who’s right or wrong, ructions caused will impact the business. Accordingly, we assume downgrades in the near term and are more conservative longer term. This reduces our valuation, although at $2.09 (prior $3.30) it still reflects our long-term belief in significant value. We expect this to be largely ignored though while near-term risks are elevated. As a result we downgrade to hold with a $1.50 target price.

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